Other than the AFC South, not ashamed of my predictions, and called the AFC West perfectly.
Prediction: 13-3. Improved defense and receivers that can’t be less healthy than last year. Even with an older Brady, this is a good team.
Actual: 12-4. The older Brady struggled early but the rest was accurate.
Prediction: 7-9. I’m a believer for no real reason. Manuel struggled, Watkins is hurt already, and the secondary is struggling. Yet here we are.
Actual: 9-7. I underrated them. The defense was stellar, and Kyle Orton taking over for Manuel made the difference.
Prediction: 6-10. On paper this team should be much better, but a tough schedule and lack of offensive playmakers makes me wonder where the wins will come from.
Actual: 8-8. Underrated them, too. Got some tough wins but still a year away.
Predicted: 5-11. Predicting a bit of a collapse. The Jets were the luckiest team in the NFL last year and I doubt that repeats.
Actual: 4-12. Nailed it, basically, as the
Predicted: 10-6. This team probably isn’t as good as they were last year, but the run game should be effective and they’ve developed bona fide pass catchers beyond AJ Green. I believe.
Actual: 10-5-1. Shame their QB limits their playoff possibilities.
Predicted: 9-7. Should have made the playoffs last year, and will contend this year. Expecting Wheaton and Shazier to make an immediate impact.
Actual: 11-5. Played down to competition at times but won when it counted.
Predicted: 8-8. Could win three more games than this if everything breaks right, but luck averages out so I’ll have them be average, too.
Actual: 10-6. Justin Forsett to the rescue. Surprisingly good defense, too.
Predicted: 6-10. This team is better than this but their QB situation is unsettled and their receivers aren’t impressive. The defense is very good, but it won’t be enough. This team can surprise, but it can’t contend.
Actual: Maybe sticking with Hoyer would have made a difference, but probably not.
Predicted: 9-7. The defense won’t be as lucky as last year, and the lack of a run game will be an issue. I also wonder if Luck will keep improving – he’s already playing well.
Actual: 11-5. Defense was indeed worse, but Luck got better and the division didn’t challenge them.
Predicted: 7-9. Counting on Locker to be healthy and accurate is risky, but this team has quietly built a great offensive line, a decent receiver corps, and good platoon pieces at TE and RB. The secondary is shallow which will be a problem all year.
Actual: 2-14. Counting on this team to do anything seems to have been risky. Doesn’t help that their new coach is inflexible.
Predicted: 6-10. An improving team but I think they’re a year away from threatening. Very young roster that will be better and deeper next year.
Actual: 3-13. Didn’t make the leap I thought they would.
Predicted: 6-10. They’re not as bad as their 2-14 record last year, and the defense can be downright scary, but QB is unsettled and all skill positions are shallower than last year. I say the struggle big time.
Actual: 9-7. Despite a rotating set of QBs the defense and run game made this team a contender.
Predicted: 12-4. Counting on Montee Ball and lacking Wes Welker for a while, the Broncos can probably still run away with this division.
Actual: 12-4. I don’t mean to brag…
Predicted: 9-7. A very good offense and very good defense and a tough schedule. They could go a couple of wins both ways.
Actual: 9-7. …but come on.
Predicted: 9-7. They need more playmakers in the passing game to threaten, but with Charles and that defense, they’ll contend.
Actual: 9-7. Do I know this division…
Predicted: 3-13. Looks like another tough year for the Raiders. They’re still early in the talent cycle and it’ll show.
Actual: 3-13. …or do I know this division?